dow the near 6year low Post Source: www.thesunsfinancialdiary.com Posted: Nov 20 2008 04:04:50
original post on the suns financial diary
dow the near 6year low
the dow jones industrial average closed below the 8000 point mark for the first time since nearly 6 years on wednesday november 19 2008 after dropping 427.47 points to close at 7997.28 points. the last time the index closed blow 8000 points was march 31 2003.
it took the index four and half years to rea...... [Show More]
it is impossible for any intrade trader to know whether the financial accounting of intrade is sound or not. any commercial company surrounds itself with secrecy. let alone an irish company that illegally from the dojs standpoint exports its services to americans.
it was impossible for the intrade traders to divine whether yahoo ceo jerry yang would step down.
...... [Show More]
as part of the lab book club i interviewed jeff howe author of the very interesting crowdsourcing . we marched through the books chapters in an hourlong session in the nieman foundations basement heres the third chunk about 11 minutes which covers chapters 6 and 7. technically its the second half of the second chunk but our style guide gives us no point of reference...... [Show More]
my post about the sudden closure of tradesports was the 2 most downloaded webpages yesterday even though that post was published late yesterday. and this morning i am receiving tons of emails from the intrade and tradesports traders they are often the same people.
my reasoning
intrade is the twin site of tradesports .
the closure of tradesports was sudden.
the t...... [Show More]
yahoo press release
boom town
new york times
wall street journal
midas oracle .org site map archives best charts exchanges software links people write a post or a page how to publish
similar blog posts yahoo ceo jerry yang is to step down. but the intrade prediction market failed to forete...... [Show More]
bland de hetaste fragorna i a bloggvarlden ar tillsattningen av usas kommande ministerposter. buden ar manga och endast barack obama vet svaret.
den kanske basta gissningen ges av de som vanligt uppdaterade prognosmarknaderna . dessa har tidigare visat stor pricksakerhet i att farutsaga valresultat. den aktuella stallningen gallande finans och utrikesmin isterposte rna...... [Show More]
jeffrey frankel submits
everyone speculating on presidentelect obamas most likely choice for secretary of the treasury has the same two names larry summers and tim geithner. i have known them for a long time and worked with both in the clinton administration. either one would be excellent. geithner is now way ahead in the intrade odds 45 to 27 as of november 14. but ...... [Show More]
as the 2008 campaigns have come to a close i thought it might be good to look at the former polls to see how accurate they were as well as how accurate my favorites polling site pollster.com is as a whole.
below is a picture of the presidential and senatorial races right before the elections i decided not to attempt the congressional races due to fewer polls and many more races. ...... [Show More]
midas oracle .org site map archives best charts exchanges software links people write a post or a page how to publish
similar blog posts what do the prediction market on the mei moses fine art index and the prediction markets on climate change have in common
like the new hampshire prediction markets the ...... [Show More]
intrade home of the worlds largest market on whether sarah palin would be kicked off the republican ticket has announced that its launching fine wine futures .
theyre apparently linked to an index of resale prices of fine wines who knew there was a need for such a thing and in line with the general worldwide malaise the price of fine wine is tanking ...... [Show More]
by now you know that stevens is behind by 814 votes.
the question is can he come back
probably not but i wouldnt rule it out completely. if i had to put odds on it id want at least 20 to 1 odds to even think of making a bet on his win. intrade has it at about 25 to 1.
what stevens has to hope for is a stunning surge among late absentee ballots. according to the alaska d...... [Show More]
livex 100 fine wine index
it is a lemon just like the prediction market on the mei moses art index 29 trades so far for the very same reason i exposed here . i wish them good luck though.
while intrade are fiddling with arcane prediction markets betfair are making dozens of millions running popular prediction markets. guess who will eat whom in the end.
...... [Show More]
beware that the olympics host prediction markets are unlikely to be accurate as the international olympic committee is a close and nontransparent organization run by a bunch of cooptated aristocrats engulfed in ioc office politics. the ioc is as close as the cia or the mafia well actually it is a mafia. dont expect accurate leaks. dont trade on those prediction ma...... [Show More]
the idea behind prediction markets is collecting the a wide variety of information and opinions to predict events. the gathering of scattered bits of knowledge is suppose to result in better predictions. the macro result might be based on reason but digging into the individual grains of emotions and rumors show people have their own unique take on events. the presidential election on intrade b... [Show More]
nigel eccles is calling hubdub.co.uk his home.
lets scan his press release for interesting bits
were delighted to be able to offer our uk hubdubbers their very own uk edition of hubdub . now hubdubbers based in the uk can now see news stories that other uk users are predicting on simply by selecting the uk edition at the top right of the home page.
interestingly ...... [Show More]
while democrats have already secured 57 seats in the u.s. senate there remains three gopheld seats still outstanding in minnesota alaska and minnesota.
last week most of us believed that minnesota was the only seat that had a real chance to flip to the democratic column. however that thinking has shifted over the wekend and there is now a growing belief that the votecounting of the...... [Show More]
the pretty good andrew gelman
this is a not yet expired static chart from intrade on whether the rcp poll aggregation have been accurate
midas oracle .org site map archives best charts exchanges software links people write a post or a page how to publish
similar blog posts on the question of th...... [Show More]
sarah palin nel 2012 chi pua dirlo. al momento intrade non la considera ancora front runner ma il prediction market a notoriamente poco profondo e la data remota. in caso karen breslau su newsweek fornisce alla governatrice dellalaska alcuni suggerimenti per porre le basi dellassalto a pennsylvania avenue. di particolare rilievo ci pare quello che invita a non rinchiuder...... [Show More]
...ical markets about the iowa electronic markets.
what did the traders say as of yesterday morning
electoral college obama 364 mccai...... [Show More]
thank you intrade for the liquidity and the excellent charting system. i will make some minor suggestions about their chart widgets later on if i may.
thank you newsfutures for being a playmoney alternative to intrade.
thank you hubdub for allowing anybody even a rascal like moi to bet virtual dollars on anything including issues...... [Show More]
heres a visual postmortem of the 2008 us presidential elections. crossposted from midas oracle .com
a intrade on november 5 2008 screen shot taken at 200 am
prediction markets state polls on november 4 2008
b1 prediction markets on november 4 2008
intrade screen shot taken at midday et...... [Show More]
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