are short primary seasons a thing of the past
from the iowa caucuses on 3rd january to the south dakota and montana primaries on june 3rd the five months of official campaigning in the democratic primaries constituted the final act of choosing a nominee for president of the united states. both barack obama and hillary clinton had announced their candidacies a year or so before iowa and their explo... [Show More]
after any close election not only will there be a sense of frustration and anguish among the supporters of the losing candidate but there will also be a significant amount of feeling that the result was somehow unfair or unjust. the 2008 democratic presidential nomination campaign will be no different in this regard as there are already numerous narratives from the clinton campaign and clinton sup... [Show More]
for those who dont believe that it was obamas advantage among activists that put him over the top here are some hard numbers. from the green papers and democratic convention watchdemocratic delegate breakdown by type
tp ye
obama
clinton
primar ies
1346. 5
1365.5
super s
407.5
282.5
caucuses
328
187
flori da
33.5
52.5
michigan
29.5
34.5
edwa rds
28.0
0.0
.. . [Show More]
us elections 2008 on a night when obama made history clintons reaction was dangerously abrasive and selfish.
michael tomasky guardian.co.uk
june 4 2008 445 am
the lead story tonight my lede as we spell it here should have been about the remarkable fact that a black man has been nominated by a major party to lead a developed western nation for the first time in the history of the wo... [Show More]
after february sen. obama led sen. clinton by almost 150 pledged delegates. given the states remaining various best case scenarios offered by chris bowers and others had clinton narrowing that to about 100 by june 3. she didnt do that but did pretty well. as of now dcw has sen. obama holding a 126 pledged delegate lead over sen. clinton. heres a quick recapjanuary mifl obama 63 clinton 48super tue... [Show More]
based on the pledged delegate numbers at green papers and the superdelegate endorsements at democratic convention watch i just did some quick math to see if obama has reached the 2210 magic number laid out of the clinton rules. in this case the clinton rules mean full votes for florida and michigan and a clinton 73 obama 22 uncommitted 33 apportionment for michigan. it turns out that even without ... [Show More]
making history Post Source: www.docstrangelove.com Posted: Jun 03 2008 23:16:22
barack obama is currently 12 delegates away from officially becoming the presumptive democratic nominee for the president of the united states. obama need 2118 delegates to secure the nomination. thanks to a carefully choreographed rollout of super delegates hewill go over the top whenprimary resultscome outin the last two primaries of south dakota and montana tonight.
today the democratic party w... [Show More]
pledged 1742super 348.5total 2090.5magic number 2117to go 26.5the ap reported earlier today that obama has clinched the nomination. however a closer look at the piece reveals that the ap was simply reporting what many of us have known for months obama has not yet but will eventually reach the magic number of delegates. this is because the ap is counting private endorsements of obama along with a m... [Show More]
heres an interesting note that i havent seen reported very much of 193 superdelegates who have not made public endorsements 30 unpledged addon delegates have not even been identified yet. in addition to known superdelegates like governors and party officials each state gets a certain number of unpledged addon delegates in proportion to its population they are basically extra superdelegates.
the u... [Show More]
several elections tonight. in the iowa 3rd we have bush dog incumbent boswell vs. progressive challenger ed fallon. in new jersey we have incumbent machinebakced but generally progressive frank lautenberg vs. corporate challenger andrews. and of course we have the final presidential primaries in montana and south dakota. i will begin liveblogging returns here at open left at 8 p.m. when the first ... [Show More]
i though barack made a good case for himself in his presentation olver said. he does a wonderful speech and really inspires people. the last several years have been really a bummer massachusetts representative john olvers endorsement of our next president viaademocratic convention watch...... [Show More]
good morning.lots of news today. all the polls in south dakota will be closed by 9 p.m. eastern there a two time zones in the state. in montana the polls close at 800 p.m. mountain10 p.m. eastern. looks like well actually have a nominee very soon. democratic convention watch has the magic number for obama down to 38. well monitor that through the day. rep. clyburn announced his support on th... [Show More]
this may cheer up hillary clinton supporters. once obama is proclaimed to have gone over the top of the number of delegates needed to win a majority at the democratic convention there will technically be a new magic number prior to that vote becoming official at the democratic national convention in august....... [Show More]
were almost there Post Source: feeds.feedburner.com Posted: Jun 02 2008 23:58:48
things are moving way to fast on the numbers for me to keep up with them thankfully the good folks at demconwatch have developed a widget so that i dont have to.
as i write this post barack needs a total of 39.5 more delegates. tomorrow he will get a minimum of 16 out of sd and mt. that means hell need just 23.5 more to hit the magic number. you can up the number by 1 if you want to take into ac... [Show More]
there are some mixed messages today from the clinton campaign contradicting several earlier reports that clinton would probably suspend her run for the white house either tomorrow or wednesday. for example i just heard the clinton campaign insist that there have been no talks between obama and clinton about dropping out. also today the campaign said the followingon the plane just now flying from r... [Show More]
feeling thirsty Post Source: feeds.feedburner.com Posted: Jun 02 2008 20:28:41
im just getting back to the computer and up to speed on the days goings on. sound like barack obama has picked up 3.5 superdelegate votes to clintons 2 superdelegate votes. ironically of the 3 supers from michigan and florida who have endorsed today...all have gone to barack.
in the meantime allow me to share this funny photograph i came across yesterday
yumm y.
ive actually seen a bottle o... [Show More]
who ever thought it would get this far
it feels as though decades have passed since hillary clinton formally announced her candidacy for the democratic party nomination for president of the united states on january 22nd 2007. barack obama formally entered the contest on february 10th 2007. over sixteen months and 335m later the final two states in this mammoth contest will cast their votes and lik... [Show More]
economists are still debating whether oregon will be hurt by the recession as much as the nation as a whole but its already getting tough for the southern part of the stateeconomists say southern oregon is staring to line up with national trends as the job market here slows down. even though jackson countys economy isnt in recession we see clear signs that the economic growth that we had in the pa... [Show More]
it is being pronounced that 2118 is the magic number of delegates needed to win the democratic nomination. in order for this to be true there must be 4235 or 4235.5 delegates in play with the winner taking a majority 21182117 or 21182117.5.how many delegates are in play florida had 185 pledged delegates and 26 superdelegates now halved. michigan had 128 pledged delegates and 29 superdelegates n... [Show More]
the mute button Post Source: feeds.feedburner.com Posted: May 31 2008 22:02:11
chris matthews finally convinced me to mute the box. he said something along the lines of fairly or not early in the process after he won 10 or 11 straight contests barack obama was deemed the frontrunner.
early on um...after that streak 70 of the delegates to the dnc had been selected. he didnt become the dominant widely accepted frontrunner until well more than half the people had voted.
i see... [Show More]
rules of the game Post Source: www.bluemassgroup.com Posted: May 31 2008 15:08:39
perhaps the best attended meeting of the rules committee of the democratic party has started its public session today in washington d.c. the issue is what to do about delegates selected in florida and michigan. the nyt reported on last nights preparatory meeting here.we cant attend the session in person but we can in spirit. what do you think should be the correct resolution and why for reference ... [Show More]
demconwatch has a useful list of all the rbc members and after the jump and who they are supporting.
one problem for the clinton campaign is the seven uncommitted members donna brazille dc mark brewer mi ralph dawson ny yvonne gates nv alice germond dc david mcdonald wa jerome wiley segovia va.
when i spoke to mcdonald on the phone a couple of days ago he was extremely loath to give florida and ... [Show More]
this weekend with the dnc rules and bylaws committee the puerto rico primary and the upcoming montana and south dakota primaries on tuesday election news remains focused on the nomination campaign. that is mildly irritating since by my count obama is only about one or two delegates away from securing the nomination even if clinton somehow convinces the rules and bylaws committee to seat florida an... [Show More]
...as south will be blogging from the democratic national convention in denver.a heres the entire list of 124 bloggers who received credentials for the convention.
2008 democratic convention watch
http demconwatc h.blogspot .com
43r dstateblue s.com
http 43rdstateb lues.com
aflcio now blog
httpb log.aflcio .org
afr ican american political pundit
htt paapolitic alpundit.b logspot.co m
americ ablog.com
httpame... [Show More]
...soapblox so well represented.i have this up at dailykos and the consensus so far is taylor marshthe full list of blogs after the jump and some bonus features... 2008 democratic convention watch httpdemco nwatch.blo gspot.com4 3rdstatebl ues.com http43rds tateblues. comaflcio now blog httpblog. aflcio.org african american political pundit httpaapol iticalpund it.blogs.. .americabl og.com httpameri cablog.com ... [Show More]
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