Several weeks ago, I published an article here at Progress Illinois that used a regression model developed by the anonymous blogger "Poblano" to examine how increased youth and minority turnout could affect Barack Obama's chances in the general election this November.
Poblano had launched the website FiveThirtyEight about two months earlier and had quickly begun making a "name" for himself among various election watchers. Many were impressed with the depth of the data presented on the site and the complexity of his analysis. But when he used his model to predict the results of the Indiana and North Carolina primaries, pollsters and analysts really began to take notice.
Last Friday, in a brief blog post titled " No, I'm Not Chuck Todd ," Poblano unmasked himself as Nate Silver, a 30-year-old Chicagoan and managing editor of Baseball Prospectus.
What's fascinating about Silver is that FiveThirtyEight is not his first renow...
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USS Mariner blogger Dave Cameron fell about 7,000 votes short of winning an online competition for a $10,000 college scholarship.
Cameron managed to pull in a whopping 13,000 votes , but it just wasn’t enough to overcome the massive flood of traffic generated by Daily Kos for their own David Mauro, who ended up with about 20,000 votes.
While some Kos bloggers turned into giant fucking assholes during the competition, it appears the commie pinko political site is trying to make go... more
Hey gays, you like Nate Silver, yes? He is a vanquisher of angry cursing wingnuts and the sexual mentor to a hot new generation of polynomials. That’s two things to like! In an interview with Queerty he talks about numbers and gay things by explaining why we should blame the passage of California’s Prop. 8 not on black people but on old people of all colors and hues. (You will all click the “MORE” button now because Nate Silver is your new Sarah Palin: sweet sexy ... more
Traffic Jam From: cjr.org Post Date: 2008-11-21 14:08:34
Bucking trends, traffic for The Atlantic, Drudge, and HuffPo are actually up post-election, according to Nate Silver and Alexa. Everyone else--including The New York Times, The Washington Post, Fox News, and TPM--is down.... more
Today, State Sen. Debbie Halvorson's congressional campaign released internal polling that bodes very well for her 11th District bid. According to the survey, conducted in May by Azalone-Liszt Research, she is 11 points ahead of her Republican rival, cement magnate Marty Ozinga. Here are some more details:
- Halvorson leads Martin Ozinga by a 43% to 32% margin, with Green Party candidate Jason Wallace at 6%.
- Halvorson still has excellent expansion potenti... more
Peter Roskam says vets in his district know he supports them. If that's the case, why did he vote against the House version of the revamped G.I. Bill last month? The bill assists veterans of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars that have served three years or more by covering the cost of four years at a state college and helping with housing and books. Speaking to NBC5's Mary Ann Ahern yesterday , Roskam said it was all a matter of dollars and cents:
“I’m a co-sponsor o... more
We promised you an update on the press conference Gov. Blagojevich scheduled this morning to respond to the budget passed by the state legislature over the weekend.
According to the Tribune 's David Mendell, Blagojevich wants to talk with the four legislative leaders about balancing the $2 billion deficit in their spending plan:
Saying that the General Assembly has handed him a budget that is “out of balance, out of whack,” Gov. Rod Blagojevich on Monday called for... more
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