This literally took me all of Saturday to put together, but I think it makes a valuable point. The following is a composite exit poll for the primary season so far, weighted according to turnout in each state. The exit polls are from CBS , and the turnout numbers used in weighting were drawn from wikipedia . It does not include Florida or Michigan, and it also does not include Alaska, American Samoa, Colorado, Democrats Abroad, D.C., Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Nebraska, North Dakota, the U.S. Virgin Islands or Washington State, since there were no exit polls for those jurisdictions. Obama won the states without exit polls by a cumulative 70%-30%, but the higher turnouts in Michigan and Florida make the net effect of the missing states roughly a wash. Here are the numbers sorted by gender, ideology, partisan affiliation, and income:
Composite Primary Season Exit Poll To Date
Category
Electorate %
Obama %
Clinton ...
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Hi,
I’m from Colorado, of course I voted absentee, but am at a Wahlparty in Munich watching at a Democrats Abroad event. It’s a quarter past midnight here and we are having a party!
Please stay positive out there. The Germans I know are expecting good results.
lahikmajoe ... more
The announcement that Barack Obama is the next US president was welcomed Wednesday by cheers and beers from a packed audience of Democrats Abroad gathered at a Bangkok restaurant to view the televised
read more ... more
The announcement that Barack Obama is the next US president was welcomed Wednesday by cheers and beers from a packed audience of Democrats Abroad gathered at a Bangkok restaurant to view the televised polling results.... more
The RTD is reporting the sale of the 15,000-square-foot building at 1710 E. Franklin St. [...] for $1.15 million to The Democratic Party of Virginia.... more
New York’s Democratic Party politicos promised voters, in an intense campaign, that if elected to a majority in the state house and state senate, they would introduce a marriage equality bill into law in 2009.
New York’s Democratic governor, New York’s Democratic majority leader, and New York’s partisan Democratic gay lobby Empire State Pride Agenda (ESPA) all promised LGBT voters that if they handed control of the state senate — long controlled by the GOP ... more
Wahlbetrug From: stevenmilverton.com Post Date: 2008-11-30 03:03:15
Was verbindet die Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands und die us-amerikanische Democratic Party?
Beide betonen auf Befragen, dass es für schwule Menschen gleiche Rechte geben müsse. Wenn es aber darum geht, konkret etwas zu unternehmen, werden sie nicht müde, Ausreden zu erfinden und abzuwiegeln:
ALBANY — After a pledge from New York Democratic leaders that their party would legalize [...]... more
This is another tip for watching the returns Tuesday night: You cannot project the winner of a state from the exit polling, becuase by its very nature, the respondent pool is not representative of the voters themselves..
The respondent pool in any exit poll of a state comprises:
Those voters who waited to vote until election day and --
Who voted at one of the precincts where the pollsters were polling --
At the time of day during which they were polling --
Who volunteered to... more
Before the first polls close Tuesday at 6 p.m. Eastern, there’s going to be a frantic search across news and political sites for leaked exit polls. This year, all people with access to exit poll data will reportedly be in a "quarantine room" until 5 p.m., according to AP, but leaks are likely. Where are you going to be looking for early exit polls? ... more
Michael Moore was on CNN arguing with Dr. Sanjay Gupta about Sicko, claiming that Americans shouldn’t be hurried along the path of bankruptcy and death because of a horrible health care system. Gupta argued that in Canada and England, people have to wait in line to die.
And after all, who wants to wait in line?
- Lee Camp, Laughing Liberally ... more
This post is a response to yesterday’s article, Why Did Democratic Women Do So Poorly In 2006 House Elections? . I also would like to personally thank EMILY’s List for coming to Open Left and moving this conversation forward. I hope that other groups and organizations will take up our standing Right to Respond offer as Open Left develops--Chris
In many ways 2006 was an extraordinary year for pro-choice Democratic women and for EMILY’s List. We helped elect two... more
...presented by Living Liberally
by Josh Bolotsky
This past 4th of July, Boing Boing posted a patriotic report on how some movie-goers in Dallas turned their reel passion into real civic engagement after a screening of Sicko :
When the credits rolled the audience filed out and into the bathrooms. At the urinals, my redneck friend couldn’t stop talking about the film, and I kept listening. He struck up a conversation with a random black man in his 40s standing next to him, ... more
I’m doing a piece on strategies around impeachment that I’d like your help on. The gist of the piece is that there is no serious coalition behind impeachment, which means that relatively high pro-impeachment polling numbers and a series of illegitimate acts by the executive are not translating into a real political countermove. By contrast, the right worked since 1990 against Clinton, with a serious organized and well-funded coalition to delegitimize him and turn every po... more
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