On the Road to a Budget Agreement, Or: I S**k at Making Predictions

So, Liberal Alliance left (or, depending on your point of view, were excluded from) the negotiations about the 2011 budget and the signs are that the government will pass the budget with the support of DF (expected) and the single Christian Democrat MP Per Ørum Jørgensen. The thing is that I had predicted that LA would be the likely fourth partner in the budget agreement so the question now is where I made the wrong judgement. 1 Just to recapitulate the point of departure: Since the election in 2001, budgets have been passed with the support of the governing Liberal and Conservative parties in cooperation with the Danish People’s Party while other parties have entered agreements about parts of the budget. A quirk in Danish parliamentary norms means that most parties will ...